MQ 3766 · MIA → ILM

departs 9:53 PM ET · arrives 11:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +48 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
56%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ILM

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

ILM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3766 · MIA → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?