MQ 3767 · TLH → MIA

took off 1:07 PM ET · landed 2:14 PM ET (scheduled 9:55 AM ET → 11:27 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TLH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MIA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip1.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3767 · TLH → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?