MQ 3825 · MIA → EIS

departs 8:28 AM ET · arrives 12:21 PM AST

Your aircraft is N309JR (E170), coming in as MQ 3858 from TLH: in the air, landing about 7:29 AM ET, 52 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at EIS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into EIS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.76 in

EIS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3825 · MIA → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?