MQ 3849 · DCA → BGR

departs 9:59 AM ET · arrives 11:52 AM ET

Your aircraft is N239NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3734 from MEM: landed 8:44 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Arrivals into BGR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BGR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3849 · DCA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?