MQ 3905 · BDL → MIA

departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 6:14 PM ET

Your aircraft is N300LK (E170), coming in as MQ 3905 from MIA: landed 3:05 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts −24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from BDL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3905 · BDL → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?