MQ 4044 · EYW → MIA

departs 11:12 AM ET · arrives 12:07 PM ET

Your aircraft is N342KR (E170), coming in as MQ 4044 from MIA: landed 12:06 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at EYW that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from EYW are usually not late

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

MIA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4044 · EYW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?