Schedule: FAA flight plans.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4044
SCHEDULED
Monday, November 2 Today
MQ 4044 · MIA → EYW
departs 9:38 AM ET · arrives 10:39 AM ET
Your aircraft is N342KR (E170), coming in as MQ 3702 from AVL: in the air, landing about 10:02 AM ET, 34 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+33 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
69%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.4d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 86 min after the scheduled departure, about 70 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 56%.
+33 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 86 min after the scheduled departure, about 70 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 61%.
+46 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 86 min after the scheduled departure, about 70 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 6%.
−2 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
MIA is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into EYW at that hour are usually not late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
EYW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.