Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4061 LANDED 3:27 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 2 Today

MQ 4061 · MIA → TYS

took off 1:41 AM ET · landed 3:27 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.9 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

TYS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4061 · MIA → TYS

Odds over time