OH 5170 · DCA → AVL

departs 9:39 AM ET · arrives 11:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5170 · DCA → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?