OH 5216 · DCA → IAH

departs 7:27 AM ET · arrives 9:42 AM CT

Your aircraft is N524AE (CRJ7), coming in as OH 5351 from ROC: landed 6:09 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5216 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?