OH 5482 · JAN → CLT

took off 7:08 AM CT · expected to land 9:26 AM ET (scheduled 6:27 AM CT → 9:23 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from JAN are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5482 · JAN → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?