OH 5604 · SGF → CLT

departs 2:54 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SGF that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5604 · SGF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?