OH 5608 · TUL → DCA

departs 4:28 PM CT · arrives 8:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.82 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5608 · TUL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?