OO 3948 · OMA → MSP

departs 5:40 PM CT · arrives 7:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±11 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

MSP (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.58 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3948 · OMA → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?