PT 5897 · SBY → CLT

took off 7:31 AM ET · expected to land 8:31 AM ET (scheduled 7:25 AM ET → 9:00 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBY

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SBY (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5897 · SBY → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?