PT 5987 · GNV → CLT

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at GNV that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ 2pm departures from GNV are usually not late

Weather at each end

GNV (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.53 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5987 · GNV → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?