PT 6008 · ROA → CLT

took off 6:53 AM ET · expected to land 7:27 AM ET (scheduled 6:11 AM ET → 7:22 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ROA is prone to delays

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA

Weather at each end

ROA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6008 · ROA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?