WN 1337 · OKC → DCA

took off 11:24 AM CT · landed 2:45 PM ET (scheduled 11:17 AM CT → 3:16 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DCA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.62 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1337 · OKC → DCA

Odds over time

How late did it get to DCA?