Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1396 · DAL → MAF
departs 9:48 PM CT · arrives 11:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 37%
Wed 11/4 44%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.