Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1508 · DCA → MDW
departs 8:35 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.