Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1713 · DEN → ONT
departs 8:49 PM MT · arrives 10:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 39%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at ONT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ONT?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
ONT (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.