Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2177
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 2177 · DEN → MSP
departs 6:53 PM MT · arrives 9:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 45%
Fri 11/6 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Gusts to 46 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 46 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.