YX 4377 · DCA → LGA

departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Your aircraft is N108HQ (E75S), coming in as YX 4582 from BOS: landed 4:22 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4377 · DCA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?