Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4638 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:05 PM ET, ETA 3:18 PM ET)
Today

YX 4638 · DCA → PWM

took off 2:05 PM ET · expected to land 3:18 PM ET (scheduled 1:41 PM ET → 3:31 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.5d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PWM?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    99%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.