YX 4742 · SYR → DCA

departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N123HQ (E75S), coming in as YX 4742 from DCA: landed 4:39 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4742 · SYR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?