AA 1763 · CLT → DSM

departs 8:36 AM ET · arrives 10:07 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1763 · CLT → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?