AA 2750 · BNA → CLT

departs 3:45 PM CT · arrives 6:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

CLT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2750 · BNA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?