AA 872 · AUA → CLT

departs 3:14 PM AST · arrives 6:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

AUA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 872 · AUA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?