MQ 3492 · MIA → DOM

took off 10:16 AM ET · expected to land 2:04 PM AST (scheduled 10:03 AM ET → 2:27 PM AST)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DOM more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DOM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DOM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

DOM (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3492 · MIA → DOM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOM?