MQ 3876 · CHA → DFW

departs 12:07 PM ET · arrives 1:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3876 · CHA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?