OH 5134 · SHV → CLT

departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 4:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N599NN (CRJ9).

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SHV that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SHV (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5134 · SHV → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?