OH 5162 · CHA → DCA

took off 7:05 AM ET · expected to land 8:19 AM ET (scheduled 6:58 AM ET → 8:56 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5162 · CHA → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?