Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3512 LANDED 3:11 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 3 Today

WN 3512 · MIA → CMH

took off 1:06 AM ET · landed 3:11 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3512 · MIA → CMH

Odds over time