PT 6046 · TLH → CLT

departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 8:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TLH

↑ 6pm departures from TLH are often late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ TLH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TLH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6046 · TLH → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?