AA 1256 · BUF → CLT

departs 7:33 PM ET · arrives 9:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

CLT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1256 · BUF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?