AA 328 · CLT → PHX

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 11:30 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling5,167 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.25 in

PHX (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 328 · CLT → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?