MQ 3477 · PIT → MIA

took off 5:44 PM ET · landed 8:00 PM ET (scheduled 5:28 PM ET → 8:31 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from PIT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3477 · PIT → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?