MQ 3849 · BGR → DCA

departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 2:33 PM ET

Your aircraft is N306DD (E170), coming in as MQ 3849 from DCA: in the air, landing about 11:31 AM ET, 47 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ BGR is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.07 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3849 · BGR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?