OH 5258 · CLT → LEX

took off 8:29 PM ET · landed 9:18 PM ET (scheduled 6:10 PM ET → 7:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LEX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,675 ft Visibility8.18868 mi Precip0.36 in

LEX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling9,094 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5258 · CLT → LEX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LEX?