OH 5472 · BDL → DCA

departs 11:50 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET

Your aircraft is N582NN (CRJ9), coming in as OH 5472 from DCA: landed 11:00 AM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5472 · BDL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?