OH 5588 · DCA → OKC

took off 1:18 PM ET · landed 3:19 PM CT (scheduled 12:53 PM ET → 3:12 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OKC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,840 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.44 in

OKC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,260 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5588 · DCA → OKC

Odds over time

How late did it get to OKC?