OH 5604 · CLT → SGF

departs 1:49 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

SGF (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling10,883 ft Visibility9.58621 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5604 · CLT → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?