PT 5833 · TLH → CLT

took off 3:38 PM ET · landed 4:45 PM ET (scheduled 3:23 PM ET → 4:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.73333 mi forecast at TLH that day

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TLH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5833 · TLH → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?