PT 5843 · ROA → CLT

took off 11:41 AM ET · landed 12:21 PM ET (scheduled 10:56 AM ET → 12:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at ROA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ROA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling2,208 ft Visibility6.16 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,072 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5843 · ROA → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?