PT 5941 · CLT → TRI

departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 3:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TRI?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into TRI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.15 in

TRI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5941 · CLT → TRI

Odds over time

How late will it get to TRI?