PT 6009 · CLT → TLH

departs 7:25 AM ET · arrives 8:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TLH?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at TLH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at CLT that day

↑ PT's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.19 in

TLH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6009 · CLT → TLH

Odds over time

How late will it get to TLH?