PT 6046 · TLH → CLT

departs 7:41 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ 7pm departures from TLH are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TLH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility6.93333 mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6046 · TLH → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?