WN 4841 · CMH → SAN

took off 12:08 PM ET · landed 1:33 PM PT (scheduled 10:46 AM ET → 12:41 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling5,208 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,519 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4841 · CMH → SAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAN?