Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4711 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:49 PM CT (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4711 · ORD → DSM

departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DSM?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.