AA 1273 · MIA → ATL

departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 12:02 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1273 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?